With a population of 15.8m inhabitants, Istanbul is a dense city despite its urban sprawl. The city is experiencing intense heat waves intensified by climate change. The poor design and low efficiency of existing buildings, particularly in low-income neighbourhoods, have given rise to high energy consumption and emissions. Istanbul is also facing mobility problems: traffic congestion and overcrowded public transport. Istanbul is a signatory of the C40 “The Deadline 2020” initiative committing to “making Istanbul a carbon neutral city by 2050”. IMM published its C40 Climate Change Action Plan (CAP) in 2021 presenting its greenhouse emission inventory including future scenarios analysis, targeted greenhouse emission reduction rates by years and prioritisation of actions. Istanbul’s Sustainable Urban Mobility Plan aims to address mobility related challenges - including GHG emissions. Yet, there is a gap between strategy and implementation.
Through UP2030, Istanbul aims to sharpen decision making to advance its planning agenda by initiating positive energy neighbourhoods with the use of advanced computational methods (i.e., digital energy twin and artificial intelligence) in support of decision-making. Artificial intelligence (machine learning methods) will be used to predict hourly building energy use and PV electricity generation, as well as urban mobility patterns in the selected neighbourhood. We will use deep learning methods, and we will specifically explore Recurrent Neural Networks, Graph Neural Networks and Multi-layer Perceptrons. The city will engage relevant stakeholders, from households in the selected neighbourhoods to decision-makers in IMM, through a serious game approach as an immersive and interactive Urban Building/Transport Energy Model (UBTEM). The emphasis will be:
Furthermore, the digital technologies embedded in the UBTEM will provide easy-to-explore, open-access data to citizens towards well informed decision-making for all stakeholders.